Kapiti Financial Advice Limited – KiwiSaver and Investment
October was characterised by US-China trade tensions and increasing concerns over the sustainability of the AI investment boom. Nevertheless, global equity markets demonstrated resilience, buoyed by strong corporate earnings, central bank’s interest rate cuts, and the prospect of increased government spending in Japan and Europe. New Zealand’s sharemarket rose 1.9% in October, boosted by lower … Read more
Global sharemarkets rose 2.2% in July. US markets led the way on favourable corporate earnings updates, particularly better than expected profit updates from the technology giants Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and Meta. Microsoft’s value rose to over US$4 trillion following its profit update. Apple reported strong revenue growth, helped by consumers rushing to buy iPhones ahead … Read more
Global financial markets experienced a very unpleasant start to April as US President Donald Trump unveiled larger than expected “reciprocal” tariffs on countries around the world. As the month went on things got better. Global markets stabilised and recovered after Trump called for a 90-day pause for the reciprocal tariffs. In the final wash, Global sharemarkets … Read more
Melville Jessup Weaver have released their MJW Investment Survey March 2025. The survey discusses the impact of the US trade policy which caused understandable nervousness in the first quarter. Market volatility began to rise around the end of February and peaked for the quarter in early March. Subsequent events in early April, following President Trump’s … Read more
Uncertainty regarding US trade and tariff policy is likely to continue for some time, which will be unsettling for markets. Expect a period of back-and-forth negotiations which may bring further positive surprises for markets. Other developments may also bring relief for global equity markets, including: Central banks continuing to reduce interest rates, particularly in Europe, … Read more
Better than expected US inflation data, the ongoing resilience of the US economy and solid corporate earnings results provided support for the US market in January. This was despite uncertainty regarding the impact of Chinese AI startup DeepSeek and President Trump’s plans to apply tariffs on imports. Providing support for the outlook, the Fed has … Read more
November was another strong month for sharemarkets which set aside geopolitical events (the ongoing war in Ukraine and the escalation of conflict in the Middle East) in favour of a settled election outcome in the US and the prospect that inflation is easing. The US sharemarket has focused on Trump’s business friendly policies of lower … Read more
The Global equity market had a strong month in November. US markets were bolstered by the election result and the prospect of tax cuts and deregulation. Central banks globally continued to lower rates. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand continued their interest-rate cutting cycle, reducing the Official Cash Rate from 4.75% to 4.25%. The NZ … Read more
A small correction in global share markets in October followed a dramatic rise in longer-term US interest rates. Global bond yields moved higher on better-than-expected US economic data and a focus on the growing size of America’s national debt. Stronger than forecast US economic data was one of the reasons why US longer-term interest rates … Read more
The global central bank interest rate easing cycle gathered pace over September, resulting in a continuation of strong returns from fixed income and global share markets. Key themes were: Global equity markets gained late in the month on lower interest rates. During September the US S&P 500 index hit its 42nd record high for the … Read more